• Adina Abeles, Stanford Univ.
  • Lauren Howe, Stanford Univ.
  • Jon Krosnick, Stanford Univ.
  • Bo MacInnis, Stanford Univ.
We shed new light on factors that shape perceptions of public opinion about whether global warming has been happening. A survey of a national probability sample of American adults (N=804) suggests that political partisans project the opposite opinion onto out-group members, and that alignment between one's own opinion and the perceived norm of a political party moderates social projection.